Penn St
W-L: ( 7- 6) PR = 85.1964Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Nevada MIDW ( 4- 8, 71.4) 46-11 906 H Florida Intl CUSA ( 7- 6, 70.8) 34- 0 913 H Villanova 52- 6 927 H Oregon B10 (13- 2, 95.6) 24-30 1004 A UCLA B10 ( 3- 9, 75.2) 27-42 1011 H Northwestern B10 ( 7- 6, 79.1) 21-22 1018 A Iowa B10 ( 9- 4, 88.5) 24-25 1101 A Ohio St B10 (12- 2, 97.9) 14-38 1108 H Indiana B10 (16- 0, 99.9) 24-27 1115 A Michigan St B10 ( 4- 8, 74.1) 28-10 1122 H Nebraska B10 ( 7- 6, 78.3) 37-10 1129 A Rutgers B10 ( 5- 7, 77.8) 40-36 1227 N Clemson ACC ( 7- 6, 79.3) 22-10
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Nevada 46-11 35 19 0.00
906 H Florida Intl 34- 0 34 20 0.00
927 H Oregon 24-30 -6 -5 -0.84
1004 A UCLA 27-42 -15 5 --- -18.78
1011 H Northwestern 21-22 -1 11 --- -12.31
1018 A Iowa 24-25 -1 -9 +++ 7.52
1101 A Ohio St 14-38 -24 -18 0.00
1108 H Indiana 24-27 -3 -9 +++ 6.44
1115 A Michigan St 28-10 18 6 +++ 8.20
1122 H Nebraska 37-10 27 12 1.83
1129 A Rutgers 40-36 4 2 1.82
1227 N Clemson 22-10 12 6 +++ 6.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1004 A UCLA 27-42 -15 5 --- -18.78 1011 H Northwestern 21-22 -1 11 --- -12.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Iowa 24-25 -1 -9 +++ 7.52 1108 H Indiana 24-27 -3 -9 +++ 6.44 1115 A Michigan St 28-10 18 6 +++ 8.20 1227 N Clemson 22-10 12 6 +++ 6.11 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Nevada ( 4- 8, 71.4) 46-11 -28.49 22.73 -5.26 1.06 37.11
3 H Florida Intl ( 7- 6, 70.8) 34- 0 -29.13 22.09 -5.26 1.06 35.76
3 H Oregon (13- 2, 95.6) 24-30 -4.28 46.94 -5.26 1.06 -5.07
3 A UCLA ( 3- 9, 75.2) 27-42 -24.74 26.48 5.26 1.06 -10.35
3 H Northwestern ( 7- 6, 79.1) 21-22 -20.75 30.47 -5.26 1.06 -13.82
3 A Iowa ( 9- 4, 88.5) 24-25 -11.44 39.78 5.26 1.06 -3.28
3 A Ohio St (12- 2, 97.9) 14-38 -2.01 49.21 5.26 1.06 -1.73
3 H Indiana (16- 0, 99.9) 24-27 -0.00 51.22 -5.26 1.06 -2.79
3 A Michigan St ( 4- 8, 74.1) 28-10 -25.76 25.46 5.26 1.06 65.27
3 H Nebraska ( 7- 6, 78.3) 37-10 -21.62 29.60 -5.26 1.06 51.73
3 A Rutgers ( 5- 7, 77.8) 40-36 -22.15 29.07 5.26 1.06 72.95
3 N Clemson ( 7- 6, 79.3) 22-10 -20.59 30.63 -0.00 1.06 65.08
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290.88
|
winning pts = 327.9184 losing points = -37.0423
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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